Archive for the ‘Mortgage Industry’ Category

Interest Rate Remedy – ‘with Side Effects’

Monday, April 5th, 2010

The drop in housing prices extends to the fourth month. After a five-month run-up in home prices starting last spring, prices have now fallen for four consecutive months – according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index of 20 cities, a gauge of market values. In January, prices were down 0.4%, compared with December and have fallen 0.7% from a year earlier.

The government, in order to stabilize the decaying housing market, spent more than a trillion dollars buying assets and investing in mortgages securities. Whereas, the near-zero interest rate was also expected to push the housing market upwards. However, both gave out unsatisfactory results. Moreover, recent news of the government winding up its buying activities will create an adverse effect on the industry. However, there are no updates concerning a rise in interest rates.

Lower interest rates predict good progress for the economy as a whole, especially for borrowers who always hope for ‘inexpensive’ money. On the other hand, these low rates are terrible for savers, especially for retirees who want to convert their lifetime savings into lifetime income. It takes a surprisingly large amount of money to generate even a modest amount of recurring income.

People planning their retirement era are unwilling to invest in such annuities, so what do they do then? They make pensions. It gives them a fixed benefit regardless of changing interest rates, making it more valuable than the annuities.

The other side of the picture – no doubt pensions have a fixed yield, but the changing interest rate stimulates the inflation level, which in turn influences purchasing power and an individual’s average income. Low interest rates means more investments which in turn means more production and consequent demand for production. An increase of 0.79% (January 2010 – 2.63% and November 2009 – 1.84%) in inflation is clearly evident of this fact.

The conclusion – lower interest rates favor borrowers and the housing market as a whole. On the contrary, savings based earners are not getting much out of their investments. What do you suggest, what should such individuals do at this stage?  How can the government stabilize the housing market along with increasing interest rates? Is there any other tool, apart from buying assets and mortgage securities?

Reference Links:

http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/CurrentInflation.asp

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Economics/Inflation-CPI.aspx?Symbol=USD\

http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/30/real_estate/January_Case_Shiller/index.htm

http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/30/markets/thebuzz/index.htm

http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/29/news/economy/interest_rates.fortune/index.htm

Changing the Debt Paying Calculus

Monday, March 29th, 2010

The first of every month is always a day of joy, salaries are credited to accounts and plans to spend it in the most constructive manner are always a hot topic. But the reality is; we never spend on what we always hope for, there are always credit card bills, mortgages and debts to pay-off.

Since long we have set out priorities. Mortgages always come first, next come credit card payments, and why not? A roof over one’s head is much more important than losing the ability to spend more than what is in your bank account.

At the present time, people, in a bad way, are paying their credit card standings before clearing off mortgage payments. The biggest reason for this awkward customers’ credit behavior is the falling housing prices, loan-modification programs and restricted credit. Nowadays, ‘property being the largest asset ‘ is just an extinct statement.  According to the February 2009 Halifax House Price Index, property prices have fallen by 17.7% over the last 12 months and about 20% of all homeowners owe more than their house is worth.

The loan modification program has also contributed towards this reshuffling of priorities. It allows people to hold back their houses even if they miss one or two payments. While on the other hand, banks are constantly tightening their credit policies. Low credit card limits, several penalties and fear of getting a card cancellation if behind on payments has created a see-saw situation, where ‘see’ is lenient and ‘saw’ is severe.

Some experts say that this trend change may lead to a circumstance where home loans may be put to one side while people will repair their credit to start again with a new mortgage plan. What is your say? What should come first; credit card payments or mortgages? Will the US housing market continue to decline? How can the Financial Institutions modify their policies to counter these threats and stabilize the housing market?

Reference Links:

http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1969017,00.html

http://first-time-home-buyers.suite101.com/article.cfm/falling_house_prices_set_to_continue_until_2010

Housing Market – Fed lifts off the ‘helping hand’

Monday, March 22nd, 2010

The recent recession initiated in the US economy ignited a trickle-down effect on all economies of the world.  The Housing market, playing the most crucial role in US economy, turned out to be a key ingredient of the slump. Since then, the United States has thrown trillions of dollars to get the housing market out of intensive care. The Government has seized two mortgage finance giants, along with giving a tax break of more than $8,000 per housing unit in order to lure buyers.

More importantly, the Fed’s buying of more than a trillion dollars mortgage related assets drove down the borrowing costs, along with feeding the ‘almost-dead’ market with fresh capital. Mortgage rates were affordable, institutions stayed liquid and probably, it kept the depression at bay.

A recent meeting of Fed’s policy committee ended up with a decision of keeping interest rates near zero, spreading a smile on investors’ faces and causing stock markets to rise.

However, bad news also followed. The Federal Reserve is ready to wrap-up the mortgage-security buying program at the end of this month. It is expected that this $1.25 trillion buying program, once ended, would send a seismic wave far and wide because it paid out huge amounts of money that were later injected into stocks. Turning off this supply would reduce the already weakened buying power to a complete flat line.

No worries; The Fed’s said that it will carry on the buying program once they felt a downward tilt.  The question that arises here is: When? Are they going to wait for the housing market to decline further, or would another depression trigger the restart? What consequences will this buying turnoff entail?

Subprime Lenders – ‘Still’ Alive

Monday, March 15th, 2010

Subprime Lenders – ‘Still’ AliveThe financial crunch gulped down a large number of companies, leaving many out of work and unable to pay debts. Many well known banks incurred large debts and huge liabilities, so large that even the Government was unable to give them a helping hand. Chances of getting a loan with a good credit standing plummeted down to somewhere near impossible, leaving no room for those who had their figures less than 650 at the Credit Ratings Scale.

It was assumed that companies issuing loans to people with debt problems would soon succumb to the crunch. But almost a year and a half has passed and this so-called subprime lending market is safe and sound. Reason for their survival – the discontinuation of subprime-lending by big banks.

With plenty of subprime lenders in the market, the mortgage industry is still facing problems with gaining strength. Mortgage brokers say it is still hard for individuals with bad credit to get home loans. The subprime home loan market peaked in 2005. That year, nearly $625 billion were handed out to borrowers with low credit scores, generally below 650, whereas, only $4 billion were supplied to home loans in the same manner in 2009.

As more and more banks are tightening their credit standards, the subprime lenders have not only accelerated their business growth, but have also raised interest rates, since borrowers with low credit ratings have fewer options. Is there no way out for people who have low credit standings?, Why can’t larger finance corporations opt for the same strategy as subprime lenders? Comments and opinions welcome.

Reference Link:  http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1971237,00.html

Government Mortgage Plan Benefits to a Handful

Tuesday, March 2nd, 2010

Government Mortgage Plan Benefits to a HandfulThe government’s mortgage relief plan, announced by President Barrack Obama a year ago, has helped only about 12 percent of the borrowers. Since its initiation, around 1 million homeowners started the process, but only 116,000 completed the application process and had their loan payments reduced permanently. More than 61,000 applications were rejected, either because the homeowners failed to make payments or didn’t return the necessary paperwork.

Figures clearly demonstrate its performance – a complete failure. However, treasury officials say the program is on track. They further said that the program is doing the job it was designed to do. Struggling families are receiving funds and the housing market is showing signs of stabilization.

Nearly one in every three homeowners with a mortgage owes more to the bank than their property is worth. Maybe the government could do more to encourage banks to cut borrowers’ principal balances on their primary loans. But such a move could set off a repercussion from critics who claim it is unfair to people who are still paying their mortgages on time.  How can the government alter its conditions to make this plan more beneficial to large number of borrowers? Please provide your views and ideas.